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With Eight Minutes to Play, Penn State Led Ohio State by 12 and Had a 96.1% Win Probability – Here's How the Buckeyes Snatched Victory

Source: www.elevenwarriors.com - Saturday, September 29, 2018
Penn State had a 96.1% win probability, according to ESPN , after Miles Sanders scored a one-yard touchdown to put the Nittany Lions up 26-14. It didn't go swimmingly from there for the Nittany Lions. Let's take a look at how it all went down. 7:59 to play, Ohio State 1st & 10 at the OSU 25 Dwayne Haskins finds C.J. Saunders for a five-yard completion. Penn State win probability: 95.9% 7:26 to play, Ohio State 2nd & 5 at OSU 30 Dwayne Haskins throws a pass to Austin Mack for 8 yds to the Ohio St 38 for a first down. Penn State w in probability: 95.5% 7:03 to play, Ohio State 1st & 10 at OSU 38 Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete, PENALTY Penn State pass interference (Tariq Castro-Fields) 15 yards to the PSU 47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO STATE. Penn State win probability: 94.2 6:56 to play, Ohio State 1st and 10 at PSU 47 Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 44 yards for a TOUCHDOWN. Can you believe it? These two TDs pushed @OhioStateFB from a 26-14 deficit to the 27-26 final. pic.twitter.com/yI93s62ViE — Ohio State on BTN (@OhioStateOnBTN) September 30, 2018 Penn State win probability: 85% 6:41 to play, Penn State 1st & 10 at PSU 30 Trace McSorley run for 13 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down. Penn State win probability: 86.3% 6:06 to play, Penn State 1st & 10 at PSU 43 Trace McSorley rush for no gain to the PSU 43, PENALTY Ohio State, face mask (Chase Young) 15 yards to the OSU42, first down Penn State. Penn State win prob

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